Buy BPCL, with target of Rs 887: Citi
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Buy Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL) with target price of R887. We use use a 7x target EV/ebitda multiple on an FY16E basis, at a slight discount to the 7.5x multiple we accord to RIL’s cyclical refining and petchem earnings, though there could potentially be upside to these multiples if the marketing business continues to grow structurally driven by deregulation, minimal government intervention, and stable oil demand growth in India, and the companies are successful in establishing a good track record.
While BPCL’s margins are slightly lower now, they are still well above past levels of R1.5 per litre, aided by the R3 per litre price hike taken over the weekend. A sustainable level of margins is difficult to predict at this stage given changing market dynamics, but the trend should almost definitely be upwards in the long run.
The way forward on fuel retailing, now that both petrol and diesel are deregulated, is differential pricing for the fuels across markets, depending on strategic strengths of the various OMCs. Also, with pvt operators entering the retail space, pricing could become more nimble. BPCL expects competition to increase going forward, but competitive intensity will be more gradual this time around.
Differential pricing should happen in a big way now as we progressively more towards a mature deregulated scenario. Only then can sustainable mktg margins be accurately forecasted according to mgmt. But the belief remains that markets can quite easily absorb higher margins in the long run.
Other Latest News
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A senior TDP leader has said the priority of the party is to "rebuild" Andhra Pradesh and take the state out of the debt trap by getting rid of the YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) government.
Telugu Desam Party (TDP) National Coordinator (Election) and ex-Rajya Sabha MP Kanakamedal Ravindra Kumar said Andhra Pradesh has suffered more losses during the Jagan Mohan Reddy government than during the creation of the two Telugu states in 2014 when resources were shared with Telangana.
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The Supreme Court on Friday issued a notice to the Election Commission of India (ECI) regarding a plea seeking to frame rules in case ‘None of the Above' (Nota) option gets the majority in elections.
Motivational speaker Shiv Khera has petitioned that the ECI treat Nota as a "fictional candidate" and to establish guidelines for conducting re-elections in constituencies where Nota garners a majority.
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The just-concluded follow-on public offer (FPO) of Vodafone Idea Limited (VIL) has not only brought relief to the struggling telecom operator but also to the three investment banks that managed the Rs 18,000 crore share sale. According to the final prospectus filed by the Mumbai-based firm, it has paid Rs 287 crore, 1.6 per cent of the issue size, as book running lead manager (BRLM) fees.
This, according to PRIME Database, is the second-highest BRLM fee paid for a domestic FPO or an initial public offering (IPO).
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India’s largest non-banking financial company Shriram Finance on Friday reported a 57 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) jump in its consolidated net profit for the fourth quarter of 2023-24.
In Q4 of FY24, the consolidated net profit of Shriram Finance stood at Rs 2,021.28 crore as against Rs 1,288.18 crore recorded in the same period of the previous year, due to rise in income and improved asset quality.
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